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Presidential Politics — Forget National Security, Isn’t it all about Jobs and the Domestic Economy?
The latest WSJ / NBC poll found that 61% of Americans approve of President Obama’s handling of national security. That’s the good news. The bad news is only 6% really care and believe that national security should be the top issue in the presidential election. The remaining 94% of Americans think the primary issue is the domestic economy and jobs. And only 39% of Americans approve of the way the President is handling the economy. Given the continuing poor state of the global and domestic economies this spells trouble for the Obama reelection campaign.
Domestic Compromise and Competitive Globalism – Isn’t it Obvious?
I was at an event last week when former President Bill Clinton made a great point. As global competition becomes fiercer there is a need for greater political cooperation domestically within the United States. This cooperation between political parties is needed to formulate policies to allow private companies to compete globally. Who can disagree?
Extraterritorial U.S. Economic Regulation and Prosecution — What’s the Impact? — Not Much?
What are the U.S. policy implications of extraterritorial application of U.S. economic legislation?
Many pieces of U.S. economic legislation apply to operations and transactions of U.S. firms outside of the United States. They also apply to transactions of foreign corporation outside of the U.S. on various jurisdictional grounds.
Transactions subject to extraterritorial U.S. regulation and prosecution include among others global mergers, corruption of foreign government officials, taxation of foreign income of U.S. firms, reporting foreign bank holdings of U.S. nationals, participation in foreign government boycotts, securities violations (disclosure and inside trading), rules concerning commodity trading, antitrust violations such as price-fixing, violation of export and reexport controls, trade sanctions including financial transactions, and corporate governance especially as to firms listed on public markets within the U.S.
So what is the impact of all this legislation as to foreign transactions and foreign actors? It’s hard to say. But what is amazing is that the U.S. still remains the number one location for foreign investment.
The answer is somewhat unclear as to the competitiveness of U.S. firms abroad. However, it should be noted that U.S. multinational corporations are thriving with huge amounts of retained earnings in both the U.S. and abroad. (The same can’t be said for the U.S. government or economy.)
Posted in Global Trade Relations
Tagged antiboycott, corporate governance, export controls, extraterritorial antitrust, extraterritorial application of U.S. law, extraterritorial prosecutions, foreign corporations, foreign corruption, global mergers, international financial transactions, multinational taxation, price-fixing, reexport, U.S. competitiveness
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Russia’s Accession to the WTO, Almost — It’s Long Overdue.
With the EU’s favorable action this week and Moscow’s announcement of its plan to join the Information Technology Agreement, the Russian Federation’s accession to the WTO has moved forward significantly. It’s almost completed. Only the opposition of Georgia seems to be holding it up.
Russia’s membership in the WTO is long overdue. The integration of Russian Federation into the global economy is essential. The WTO is the only major multilateral organization that really works. Its goal is the creation of a rule-based trading system and its dispute-resolution system is extraordinarily effective.
Global trade has expanded exponentially since the organization’s founding in 1995. The underlying premise of the WTO is that, as a rule-based system developed to govern global trade, it will help foster rules and institutions within the civil society of member states, making them more democratic and wed to the free market. This system is the critical link between global trade, economic prosperity and political development — as envisioned by the United States as the principal architect of the WTO.
Russia’s membership in the WTO is in the interest of the EU, the U.S. and the global trading system.
Solar Panel Litigation & the Emerging Clean Energy Trade War — Good for Whom?
A new dumping / subsidies case was filed recently by American solar panel makers attacking China’s subsidies to its manufacturers. This filing with the International Trade Administration / U.S. International Trade Commission is a new skirmish in the emerging clean energy trade war between the U.S. and China.
Actions by related manufacturers, such as the steel towers for wind turbines, are being contemplated in this emerging front in global trade actions by the U.S. and its firms against China in the green energy sector. (The U.S. previously brought an action in the WTO against China concerning wind turbine subsidies .)
This case may or may not be easy to win. Even with reliance on the fact that China is considered a non-market economy, so it’s easier to establish trade remedy violations, this could be a difficult case to win. This is because of the complex nature of the corporate structures and financial transactions involved.
If trade restrictions are eventually imposed Chinese firms could establish American operations to avoid these newer restrictions. The same way foreign auto firms did throughout the American south in the 1980’s and 1990’s and continue to do so. Just note the poor shape the rustbelt auto producers found themselves in after the establishment of these foreign plants.
Undoubtedly, states throughout the U.S. would seek this new foreign investment from Chinese firms. Which would actually be good for workers but not the firms or the employees of those firms that brought this new litigation.
Trade protection doesn’t necessarily really help U.S. manufacturers. In fact, some U.S. firms might move to China to partner with Chinese firms in order to have access to those foreign subsidies. It’s not only multinationals that can enter into cross-border transactions and take advantage of foreign regulations and financing. It’s a globalized world.
To me the better answer is not more domestic litigation by industry but more effective trade negotiations by the USTR. Get China to fully report existing subsidies as required by its accession agreement. Address them diplomatically and if that fails through the WTO litigation process. This process has proven to be fairly quick and effective. The U.S. has won most its cases brought against China.
Posted in Global Trade Relations
Tagged actionable subsidies, antidumping, China, china subsidies, chinese dumping, chinese exoirt subsidies, countervailing duites, countervailing duties, export subsidies, industries of the future, International Trade Administration, new China dumping case, protected industries, solar panel filing, solar panels, solar power, U.S. Dept. of Commerce
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Foreign Investment and National Security – Restricting Huawei’s Contracts & Investments – Wrong Signal?
Various attempts to acquire business opportunities in the U.S. by the Chinese telecom company, Huawei, have been blocked by the federal government. These federal actions have been based upon national security concerns over technology transfer and cybersecurity.
Global mergers and foreign investment are essential to the economic prosperity of the U.S. While there is a “security exception” under the WTO rules governing trade relations it has never been relied upon or adjudicated.
The U .S. needs to clarify its dealings with Huawei. It should fully address the issues of technology security and foreign government ownership. This clarification would help ensure that U.S. policies are sound and are consistent with its general policy of attracting foreign investment.
Greater transparency that encourages foreign investment is good for jobs, economic development, and global transactions.
National security restrictions need to be justifiable and not provide cover for protectionist actions. We do not want foreign governments to use national security as an excuse to preclude U.S. investment into their markets. Global investment into the U.S. should be welcomed and not scared away.
During this presidential election season the clash of interests in Washington between national security and global trade is obvious. But this domestic political debate cannot become self-destructive. Sensible policies should be formulated and implemented to encourage direct investment but also to protect our national interests.
It is a tricky balance to engage in the global trading system, to manage important bilateral economic relations, and to provide for the national defense in the 21st century.
It is a globalized world, hyper-charged by technology and greater connectivity. We need to embrace this global environment in order compete aggressively to succeed. But we also need to be safe.
Three New Bilateral Trade Agreements — What’s the Real Impact? — Economic or Political?
Congress just passed the bilateral trade agreements with South Korea, Colombia and Panama. This is clearly a rare bipartisan act and a success for President Obama. But what is the real significance of these new free-trade agreements? Is it economic (read American jobs) or political?
It seems to me that in the context of interlocking issues of globalization and global commerce these agreements are not particularly important. It appears to many that the impact will be small in terms of new U.S. jobs.
It’s interesting that these agreements were passed by Congress while it was voting favorably for the restrictive currency legislation aimed at China. Perhaps the vote for the protectionist legislation provided cover for those voting for the free-trade agreements.
Nevertheless, the passage of the bilaterals is a real political achievement for President Obama. It may have significant and beneficial overtones for U.S. foreign policy.
Hopefully, the passage of this legislation will lead to a more robust American trade policy and leadership in global trade relations generally. The Congress should start by renewing the fast track authority (“Trade Promotion Authority”) for the President. This would help make the U.S. look more serious in its trade negotiations.
Trade Remedy Actions — Which countries are the biggest users and biggest targets? — Some Surprises.

Which countries are the biggest users of trade remedy actions? Which countries are the most often targets of these investigations? What are the global trends in these cases?
Here’s some very interesting data from the WTO concerning antidumping cases, countervailing duty proceeding and safeguard actions:
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The two leading countries initiating countervailing duty investigations in 1995-2010 were: India 48 and China 43. (The U.S. had 12.)
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The two leading countries initiating antidumping investigations in 1995-2010 were: China 804 and Korea 273. (The U.S. had 224.)
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The two leading countries initiating safeguard investigations in 1995-2010 were: India 26 and Turkey / Jordan 15. (The U.S. had 10.)
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New antidumping investigations declined 29% from 2009 to 2010. India and the EU reported the most new ones.
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New safeguard actions declined worldwide from 43 to 26 in 2010 (3rd quarter compared to the 1st quarter).
The following is data from the Congressional Research Service concerning antidumping actions for 1995 – 2005:
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The three most often targets of antidumping actions were India, U.S. and the EU.
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The four most often initiating antidumping actions were China, the EU, South Korea and the U.S.







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